Lexington, Ky. is bracing for a series of strong-to-severe storms today, with multiple rounds of rain anticipated throughout the day. The initial wave of storms is expected to move through the region during the mid-to-late morning hours, producing brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds, although this is not deemed the primary severe threat. The first storms will exit by lunchtime, leading to a second, more severe round in the afternoon and early evening.
A Level 2 Severe Risk is in effect for most of the ABC 36 viewing area today, specifically Tuesday, September 24th. Damaging wind gusts represent the main risk, but there may also be isolated instances of large hail and even a few rotating storms. While the tornado threat is low, localized heavy rain could lead to flash flooding, particularly in low-lying areas, though widespread flooding is not anticipated.
As the storms begin to clear out overnight, lingering showers remain possible. A cold front will stall over the region on Wednesday, bringing scattered showers and a few storms, especially in southeastern Kentucky. From Thursday into Friday, impacts from a developing tropical system, currently named Helene, are expected to affect the area, potentially leading to heavy rainfall as the system progresses towards Florida.
The forecast models suggest a “predecessor rain event” could bring heavy rain to southern Kentucky, Tennessee, and regions into the Carolinas ahead of the tropical storm’s landfall. The National Hurricane Center indicates that most of Kentucky is included in the forecast cone for this system, which may lead to windy conditions and rain as it moves inland. Rain showers are expected to continue through the weekend into early next week, with temperatures remaining near or below average.